Category: ’09 – ’10 Season


Wrapping Up My Rookie Season

I think it’s about time to wrap up Season 1 of Hoopservations.  When LeBron had his most spectacular failure of his career, and I didn’t feel like I had anything much to say about it, I knew it was time for the off-season.

I was starting to think that the time had come, anyway.  The college game ended weeks ago, and there are only 5 pro teams left playing.  There’s not all that much going on at any given moment (2 games over 4 days between Tuesday and Friday), and all of the commentators who commentate about hoops are spending 20 hours a day commentating about the same not-all-that-much that is going on.  There’s not much for a part-time blogger to add to the discussion, so I think it’s time for my offseason to begin.  (Not to mention that the button just popped off of the pants I’m wearing, reminding me that I should be spending whatever free time I have at the gym.)  I’m going to spend the offseason meeting with the Hoopservations Board of Directors, maybe talking to a consultant or two, and probably giving a wicked computer dude a chance to show off his skills by giving the site a few upgrades.

Once I start posting again, I’ll send a note to all the people in the Hoopservations Facebook group, and an e-mail to all of my friends who read the site.  If you want to get an e-mail, but aren’t in the Facebook group and don’t think you’re on my list (if you’ve gotten e-mails about the site from me before, you’re on the list — if you haven’t, you’re not), just contact me here.  I’ll make sure to include you.

In closing, I’ll leave with a word about LeBron.  (What else?)  Obviously, right now I have no idea what is going to happen in this series.  It wouldn’t shock me if the Cavs lose tomorrow to the Celtics, wouldn’t shock me if he averages 45 ppg over the next two games and leads them into the next round, and, if he gets them to the next round, nothing that happens from that point forward would shock me.  I’m not interested in knocking him any more, and I’m certainly not going to praise him after last night’s performance.

All I’ll say is this:  I ain’t got nothing against LeBron personally.  I tend not to be a big fan of guys who tattoo “Chosen One” on their bodies and refer to themselves as “The King,” but I don’t dislike him.  And I acknowledge that he’s freakishly athletic, with incredible skills.  And I’m well aware that, when I knock him, many people think that I’m just being contrarian.  But I’m not.  (For what it’s worth, this guy ripped him harder than I ever did, and even Bill Simmons is starting to have doubts.)

My only thing is that I don’t like when guys get anointed.  I like guys to earn the credit they get.  I root for guys who have had sand kicked in their face, then got back up and kept on fighting.  Or guys who earned their mettle some other way, like winning in college.  But not guys who came straight out of high school and were treated like The Second Coming, even though, 7 years into their career, they had never won a championship.

Obviously, in the process of playing for 6 seasons and not winning a championship, LeBron lost plenty of games.  But those losses never really dented his aura.  There always seemed to be a reason in people’s minds, like youth, or terrible teammates, or something else.  I think it’s fair to say that yesterday was the first time in his career that he had sand kicked in his face.  As a basketball fan, I can’t wait to see how he responds.

See you next season!!

I’ve spoken to a number of people recently who tell me that they don’t enjoy watching the NBA anymore.  One person was telling me that the game isn’t played the way the Knicks of the early 70’s played it, which is the way it is supposed to be played.  A few people were telling me that it isn’t played the way the Celtics and Lakers of the 80’s played it, a few complained that it isn’t as good as it was when Reggie, Patrick, Michael and Hakeem were battling it out in the 90’s, and a few just sounded grouchy.  The point, though, is that a number of people aren’t feelin’ it the way I’m feelin’ it.

[AUTHOR’S DISCLAIMER:  The crew of people that I interact with on a daily basis is, I know, not necessarily reflective of the overall population.  An illustration of a typical conversation for me to have with a friend is a conversation that I had yesterday.  I said something about the hoops that was played on Monday night.  My friend responded by saying that he was watching WWE wrestling (Monday Night Raw) during the game I was talking about.  This led to a back-and-forth, which culminated in him arguing that The Undertaker would make a great power forward -- kind of like The Birdman -- and me conceding that the NBA’s ratings might improve if The Undertaker signed with an NBA team.  Yup, these are my friends.  But the point remains... a bunch of people are unhappy with the NBA.]

I wasn’t around to watch the Knicks of the early 70’s, so I can’t respond directly to the assertion that they played the game better than the teams play today.  But I watched plenty of hoops starting in the mid-80’s, and I know a thing or two about the history of the game.  At least enough to address the feeling that the game is getting worse.

For starters, I agree that something has gotten lost with the addition of more teams.  ‘Twas a time when there was no such thing as a Tuesday in February when a few games were being played between two lousy teams.  Now there are so many teams that there are bound to be some games that are no fun to watch. (Even if all the other teams in the NBA got better, the Knicks would still be the Knicks, guaranteeing at least 82 meaningless, uninteresting games every year).

But there’s a reason why the league expanded; at bottom, it’s a business.  When people like what it’s producing, it’s going to produce more.  Sure, it might get to a point where it overexpands (I would argue that it passed that point 2 or 3 teams ago), but you can’t expect the league to sit still if it thinks there are markets to be tapped into profitably.

I also agree that the best teams do not seem to be as good.  I doubt we’ll ever see a team like the ’86 Celtics, with 3 Hall-of-Famers in the frontcourt, 1 in the backcourt, AND BILL WALTON ON THE BENCH, going against the Lakers, with arguably the best PG ever, the league’s all-time leading scorer, AND JAMES WORTHY FILLING THE LANE.  When you add teams, you diminish the likelihood of any team accumulating that much talent.

But let’s not look at the past with rose-colored glasses.  When those Celtics and Lakers teams were dominating the league, the teams on the bottom were terrible.  Anyone remember the Jazz before Stockton and Malone?  The Kings in the sky blue uniforms?  The Nets before they drafted Derrick Coleman?  The Rockets before Olajuwon?  You don’t?  Neither do I.  That’s my point.  And I made that point without even mentioning the pre-Ewing Knicks — the team with Pat Cummings and Rory Sparrow in the starting lineup.

I’ll give one other point to the teams of yesteryear; they typically had guys who fit into our notions of the five different positions.  Kareem was a C, Magic was a PG, Byron was a SG, Worthy and Rambis were forwards.  That’s what a basketball team was supposed to look like.  And there was a harmony to it.  Today, many teams have a few guys who are “hybrids,” which sounds good in theory, but sometimes leads to something awful-looking.  Like the Golden State Warriors.  And nobody wants that.

But, again, let’s not look at the past with rose-colored glasses.  It’s true that the Lakers and Celtics of the ’80’s, or the Knicks of the early ’70’s, started 5 guys who each played one of the “5 positions.”  But, it’s also true that they started SGs who were 6’4” or smaller.  Good luck trying to pull that off in today’s game (unless your 6’4” SG happens to be named Dwyane Wade).

There’s much more to say on this topic, but I won’t try to cover too much in one posting.  The last thing I’ll say is that anyone who is down on today’s game should watch the Suns-Spurs series.  Watch Nash, Duncan, Manu, and Grant Hill, and then talk to me about whether today’s players aren’t playing the game the right way.

Which reminds me… I have a game to go watch.

How Good Are The Lakers?

One of the first postings on this site was about the hoopservation that, whenever you debate which player is better between two players, you do not wind up talking about each guy’s skill or athleticism, but, instead, you wind up debating which of the two players has better teammates. Separately, there have been multiple postings about the Cavs, contending that LeBron’s teammates are better than they’re generally given credit for.

Recently, the Kobe v. LeBron conversation has started to bubble back up a little bit.  I guess it was inevitable; LeBron won his second MVP, Kobe has been showing signs of wear and tear, and the playoffs are heating up.  The consensus seems to be that there’s nothing left to discuss, LeBron is much better than Kobe.

I’m not going to argue that Kobe is better — not right now, at least — but I must say that it’s still remarkable to hear how much more credit LeBron gets for doing not-all-that-much-more than Kobe.  Listen to people talk about the two of them, and you’d think that Kobe was surrounded by guys on the Dream Team, while LeBron was surrounded by guys on an expansion team.

For example, on the Sports Reporters this morning, the guys were saying that the Cavs will not continue winning unless LeBron gets some help.  Um, Mo Williams had 20 points on 8-14 shooting yesterday.  That’s not helpful?  The Cavs held the Celtics to 44% shooting.  Unless LeBron was guarding all five dudes on the floor, that means that someone was playing some defense.

But this isn’t about the Cavs.  The point, for now, is that Kobe is not surrounded by a Dream Team.  Unless he goes Ko-ballistic, these guys ain’t beating nobody who’s left in the playoffs.

Let’s break it down for a minute:

Gasol is excellent.  Teams can win titles with him as the second-best player on the roster.  But don’t let the beard and the long hair confuse you — this isn’t Bill Walton we’re talking about.  When Gasol was the best player on the Grizzlies, the Grizzlies were, well, the Grizzlies.  They weren’t a contender to win much of anything.

Bynum is dangerous when healthy, but he isn’t always healthy.  And he isn’t healthy now.  Today, he was only good for 8 points and 0 – yes, 0 – blocks against an undersized Jazz team.  Don’t let the limp confuse you – this isn’t Willis Reed we’re talking about. (Have I used that joke already?)

Artest is solid, and relatively consistent, but he’s lost a step since his days as a dominant defender, and he was never a consistent offensive threat.  He’s good enough to start on a championship team if he has the right pieces around him, but I wouldn’t say that he consistently gives his team a dominant advantage over the guy he’s matched up with.

Then there’s Derek Fisher.  Years ago, he was a quality starter.  Now he’s a liability.  I don’t think it’s a stretch to say that he’s the worst starter playing on any of the remaining playoff teams.

Which brings us to the Lakers’ bench.  Odom is very talented, but, realistically, is not significantly better than Jamal Crawford, Anderson Varejao, Tony Parker, or a few of the other bench players whose teams are still playing.  Shannon Brown, Jordan Farmar, and Luke Walton have their moments, but, if those are the guys that supposedly make Kobe’s supporting cast significantly better than LeBron’s, well, I ain’t buyin’ it.

To be sure, if everyone on the Lakers is healthy, they are an excellent, well-balanced team.  But they are old, and, now that Bynum is hurt, their top guys are not even all healthy.  It’s still an excellent team, but a guy who calls himself the “Chosen One,” and who has a couple of All-Stars of his own for teammates should be able to take this squad down… if he deserves all of the hype, that is.

The Mavs Need to Get Better at 3-on-3

Watching the Mavericks gets confusing.  Sometimes, when I watch them, they look like the greatest team in the history of great teams.  They roll out a starting lineup of 4 guys who are regularly in the All-Star game (Dirk, Kidd, Butler, and Marion).  They have Jason Terry, who consistently competes for the Sixth Man of the Year Award.  And more.  They have this little sparkplug dude who sometimes checks in and just sets the arena on fire (Barea).  They have some rookie from France who is capable of dropping 40 on a given night (Beaubois).   I haven’t even mentioned Brendan Haywood, DeShawn Stevenson, and Eduardo Najera, each of whom has played significant minutes for competitive teams in the NBA.  When I watch the Mavs and they are clicking, I feel kind of like I’m watching the Globetrotters: part of me is amazed at what they can do, and part of me remembers that they are not as good as they seem.

Given how good they can be, their inability to win begs the question: Why aren’t they better in the playoffs?  The easy answer is to say that they are “inconsistent,” or that they aren’t built for the playoffs, but neither of those is really an answer — those are just things people say about any team that underachieves.  Here at Hoopservations.com, we dig deeper.

I think the reason the Mavs aren’t better in the playoffs is that having the best 6th, 7th, 8th, or 9th man (or even all of the above) is not the way to win in the playoffs.  The teams that win in the playoffs have guys who marry girls who look like Eva Longoria  are the teams with the best “top 3.”  Check it out:

Bryant / Gasol / Bynum are better than Durant / Westbrook / Green.  The Lakers are up.

Nash / Amar’e / Richardson are better than Roy (especially when he’s injured) / Aldridge / Miller.  The Suns are up.

LeBron / Jamison / Williams are better than Rose / Deng / Noah.  The Cavs won.

Rondo / Allen / Pierce are better than Wade and whoever the other two best guys on the Heat are.  The Celts won.

Howard / Carter / Lewis are better than Wallace / Jackson / Felton.  The Magic won.

The only clear exception is the Hawks / Bucks series, because Johnson / Horford / Smith are better than the Bucks’ best 3 guys.  But the reason the Bucks are beating the Hawks is… um… actually, I have no friggin’ idea how the Bucks are beating the Hawks.  Whatever the reason, I don’t think it disproves the hoopservation that depth doesn’t matter all that much once the playoffs roll around.  A team is only going as far as its top 3 guys can take it.

Final Thoughts on the Regular Season

Now that the playoffs are starting to heat up (as much as it is possible for them to heat up with multiple days of rest between the games), people will have very little reason to think about the 2009-10 regular season moving forward.  Before we get to the point of forgetting the regular season entirely, here are a few hoopservations to keep in mind when the time comes to predict what will happen next year.

1.   The Lakers finished #1 in the West, but they looked much more dominant in the beginning of the season than the end of it.  The truth is that they’re an old team, and, unless they shake some things up, it’s hard to see them dominating next year.

2.   The Clippers finished with a better record than seven teams in the league.  That’s hardly impressive, but it means that they showed glimmers of hope (and raises some serious questions about those seven teams).  They’ll be adding Blake Griffin, another lottery pick, and probably a free agent or two.  If we can overlook the fact that they are the Clippers, there is reason to think they will be scary.

3.   Cleveland is a good, but aging, team.  Contrary to popular belief, LeBron is not surrounded by a bunch of stiffs.  But they are getting older.  If that aging roster stays the same, I won’t be picking them to win the East.

4.   If we imagine that no teams make any roster changes, the three teams that should make the biggest jump next year are the Thunder, Clippers, and Blazers (the Thunder because they’re getting better by the day, the Clippers and Blazers because they’ll be getting their injured players back).  The teams that should take the biggest falls are the Lakers, Cavs, Suns, Celtics and Bucks (the Bucks because they overachieved, the others because of age).

Of course, there is no reason to think that most, or even any, of the teams in the NBA will go into next season with the exact same rosters they have now.  We’ll obviously have to look at the moves that get made and evaluate them once they are done.  For now, it’s time to shift the focus back to the playoffs… Go Thunder!!

Ok, I’ll get this part out of the way at the beginning, so I’m not accused of being a contrarian, or a LeBron hater, or anything else that people are said to be if they question whether LeBron can actually walk on water… he’s the MVP this year.  The dude is scary good.   I mean, he averaged 30 points, 7 assists and 9 board per game.  That’s awesome.  No doubt.

But, still… the hyperbole about this guy just continues to get crazier.  Months ago, I pointed out that (i) LeBron’s numbers are not all that much better than other superstars who do not get nearly the same amount of credit, and also that (ii) Bill Simmons, among other people, essentially winds up drooling over himself when he writes about LeBron.  Ok.  Whatever.  Been there done that.

This morning, though, I was listening to Mike and Mike on the radio for a few minutes, and their guest was Dickie V.  Now, I know that Dickie V is not really the guy we look to when we hope people will start to turn the excitement down a notch.  But this was out of control.   Dickie V said – and both Mikes agreed with him – that LeBron is on his way to being the best of all time.  Yup.  Numero uno.  He then launched into the typical rant about how amazing it is that LeBron has done so much at such a young age with such a lousy supporting cast.

Is anyone else tired of hearing that, or is it just me?  LeBron is in his seventh season.  Isn’t it about time we start evaluating what he has done instead of what he has the potential to do?  I mean, how many years in the league does he deserve before people stop talking about how much potential he has to be great when he grows up?

Plus, LeBron’s teammates are good.  Very good.  I’ve already blogged about this elsewhere (here and here, for example), and won’t repeat myself.  The bottom line is that there are 4 different guys on LeBron’s team who were once All-Stars. And it’s not like they’re all old and crippled.  They still run, jump, pass, and shoot.  They’d run circles around D-Wade’s “supporting cast.”  Yet, when Dickie V explained why MJ was able to win so many more titles than LeBron has been able to win, he wound up knocking LeBron’s supporting cast, and talking about what a wonderful rebounder Bill Cartwright was on the Bulls.  Seriously.  Bill Cartwright.

There’s more.  Dickie V said – and the two Mikes agreed – that LeBron can score “whenever he wants.”  Yup.  Whenever he wants.  So, presumably, the only reason the Cavs lost any games this season was that LeBron didn’t “want” to win them.

I’m not sure why people need to give him soooo much credit.  He’s awesome.  He’s the MVP.  Until he proves that he can lead a team to a championship, he deserves to be grouped with the other superstars who never won a championship — not with the ones who won six.

Cheers to the Blazers and the Heat

If things go the way that I predict, the Blazers and the Heat will both be done for the season by this time next week.  The teams remaining will move on, and, when people look back at this season, they won’t think much about the Blazers or the Heat.  Before we get to that point, I’d like to spend a few minutes giving both teams a shoutout, because, the way I see it, they both overachieved.  At least a few people affiliated with both teams deserve a bunch of credit.

Let’s start with Miami.  47-35, for that collection of talent?  Really?  For starters, cheers to D-Wade.  27 ppg, shooting 48%, with more than 6 apg plus a block and a steal.  The dude is a superstar.  If LeBron carried that “supporting cast” to a 47-35 record, people would be talking about him like he walks on water.  (Hey, LeBron carried a much better supporting cast to a 61-21 record, and people talk about him like he walks on water.)

Cheers, too, to the young guy, Beasley, who is starting to find his form, and to the old guy, O’Neal, who has at least a little something left in the tank.  And, while we’re at it, might as well give the obligatory shoutout to the coach, Erik Spoelstra.   I can’t sit here and highlight great coaching moves that he made, but we live in a world where coaches are often graded simply by the results they get, and, well, you can’t argue with the results this dude got from one superstar and a bunch of role players.

As for the Blazers, wow.  Every time I looked up, another Blazer was getting injured.  Even the coach got injured and missed a bunch of games.  They only had Oden for 21 games, and Przybilla for 30.  These guys leaned on Juwan Howard — yes, that Juwan Howard – for 22 mpg over 73 games.  Yet, they finished #6 in the West, at 50-32.  LaMarcus Aldridge is developing into a star (18 ppg and 8 rpg).   Brandon Roy is a bad man.  Very bad.  Andre Miller is one of the most underrated point guards in the league (the dude had THE SIXERS in the playoffs last year), and Marcus Camby, well… 11 boards and 2 blocks per game speak for themselves.

Unfortunately, I think time is running out on both of these squads for this season.  Next year, though, look out.  The Blazers get Oden and Przybilla back.  And the Heat?  According to my secret sources (read: the podcasts that I listen to – publicly available to anyone), Chris Bosh wants to head down there.  That could give Batman Wade the Robin that he needs, and should send the Heat beyond the first round.

NBA Playoffs Vol. 3: Potpouri

The last two entries have been about the stability of the NBA Playoffs on a year-to-year basis.  After making two entries about a topic that the average hoops fan finds to be moderately interesting AT BEST, a mere mortal might stop there, afraid that his readers would get bored and stop visiting his site.

But I’m no mere mortal.  So here is a potpouri of additional hoopservations based on the already-posted hoopservation that the teams in the playoffs hardly change from year to year.

1a.  Stockpiling lottery picks is no guarantee of success.  The Clippers, Wolves, Kings, Warriors, Pacers, and Knicks have been stockpiling lottery picks for years, and they all suck.  Oh, wait… the Knicks traded away a bunch of their lottery picks for overpriced scrubs, so they haven’t been stockpiling much of anything (except overpriced scrubs).  Nonetheless, the point remains the same: teams can’t expect a bunch of lottery picks to turn their fortunes around.  The system is set up for that to happen, but the system isn’t really working.

1b.  The way to get good through the draft is to find a superstar; one great draft is better than a bunch of pretty good ones.  Look at what happened to the Cavs after they got LeBron, the Nuggets after they got Carmelo, the Heat after they got D-Wade, the Lakers after they got Kobe, the Mavs after they got Dirk, the Hornets after they got CP3 (this year excepted because of injury), and the Magic after they got Howard.  Each of those teams turned their fortunes around with one pick much more quickly than the Clippers, Wolves, Kings, etc. have been able to turn things around with a bunch of picks.

1c.  Because a pick in the lottery is (i) a sought-after commodity, and (ii) not necessarily going to bring success, it is surprising that the picks are not traded more frequently.

1d.  At first glance, the emergence of the Thunder might render this hoopservation inaccurate, but that’s not the case.  The Thunder’s emergence does not prove that accumulating draft picks brings about success.  Rather, the Thunder’s emergence proves one of the very first hoopservations I made on this blog, arguing that,  when a team has a real star player who is healthy for a full season, that team will almost certainly make the playoffs.  Kevin Durant emerged as a star this year; that’s why the Thunder is in the playoffs.

2.  Just like stockpiling draft picks isn’t necessarily enough to lead to the playoffs, being good enough to make the playoffs for multiple years in a row doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re going to win the championship if you just keep trying.  In other words, if a team is thinking that it’s “almost there,” and can rely on acquired experience – and maybe a bit of tinkering at the edges of the roster – to get over the hump, that team is wrong.

3. There are guys in this league who are not good enough to be one of the two best players on a real contender, but are good enough to start on a championship team, and possibly even to be the final piece that makes a very good team great.  I’m talkin’ ‘bout guys like Danny Granger, Corey Maggette, Tayshaun Prince, and Hedo Turkoglu.

No lousy team should have any guys of this caliber on their rosters, unless that guy is under 25 and still improving (none of the guys mentioned is under 25 and still improving).  Given their salaries (which tend to be high), and the amount of good years they have left (3-5), they do not offer anything to a team that has a long way to go to get better.  Why not trade them for developing players and/or draft picks?

4.  If all of the above is true, then there should be many more trades than there are.  I understand that the rules about trades are complicated, and a team can’t just trade a guy like Corey Maggette for a young dude and a draft pick because of salary considerations, but, still… conceptually, bad teams need to be more aggressive about getting younger and further under the cap, and good teams need to be more aggressive about adding the final pieces to their puzzles.  If you’re on board with the concept, then you’ll figure out how to make trades work; throw in cash considerations, or additional draft picks, or young guys from the end of your bench.  Whatever.  Just don’t be a bad team overpaying Corey Maggette and hoping to get better through the lottery, or a pretty good team that’s afraid to make the move that might put you over the top.

NBA Playoffs Vol. 2: Hold Onto Your PG

As I blogged recently, ain’t much changin’ in the NBA playoffs on a year-to-year basis.  The minimal amount of movement of teams into or out of the playoffs is remarkable, and (I failed to point this out in my previous posting) becomes even more remarkable when one considers that injuries to guys like Yao and T-Mac for the Rockets, CP3 for the Hornets, and D-Wade for the Heat, have a lot to do with the movement that we actually have seen.

One hoopservation about the minimal movement of teams into and out of the playoffs is that, given how little movement occurs, it can’t be a coincidence that, when movement does occur, it often involves a playoff team losing its PG and then falling out of the playoffs.

The clearest example is Detroit.  The Pistons were the #2 seed in the East as recently as the 2007-08 season.  Then they traded Chauncey Billups, and now they are an afterthought.  I know that lots of terrible executive decisions have been made in Detroit over the last two years — for example, the decisions leading the auto industry to the verge of collapse — but the decision to trade Chauncey Billups for no perceivable reason has to rank amongst the worst.  The Pistons need a bailout of their own if they’re going to make it back to the playoffs.

Detroit is the clearest example, but not the only example.  This year’s 76ers are 27-54, and do not even resemble a playoff team.  Last year, they were a playoff team.  Then they got rid of Andre Miller, and completely lost their mojo.

Not too long ago, the Wizards were a young, exciting playoff team.  Then Gilbert Arenas injured his knee.  Then Gilbert Arenas injured his brain.  Now, the Wizards are a joke.

In ’06-’07, the Warriors not only made the playoffs, but won a series, led by Barron Davis.  Now Barron’s gone from Golden State, and the Warriors are gone from the playoffs.

Lastly, the Nets — yes, the Nets — were a playoff team in ’06-’07.  They traded Jason Kidd in the middle of the following season and, well… you know what happened.

In sum, one pattern we can perceive when we look over the minimal movement that has happened into and out of the playoffs is that often a team in the playoffs screws things up when it gets rid of its PG.

NBA Playoffs Vol. 1: Deja Vu All Over Again

The NBA Playoffs are almost upon us, marking the beginning of the end of my first season as a BasketBlogger.  It’s a time for reflection, a time to take stock of lessons learned.

Aside from the obvious lesson — that I shouldn’t quit my day job — the main thing I’ve learned is that this game, while completely unpredictable on the college level, is actually very predictable on the pro level.  It’s remarkable how little the standings change on a year-to-year basis.

Check out the current standings here, and the standings for the ends of each of the past three seasons here, here, and here.  You generally see some movement in the rankings of the playoff teams, but the teams that go to the playoffs hardly change.  In fact, seven teams have been to the playoffs each of the past four years (Cleveland, Orlando, Lakers, Dallas, Denver, Utah, and San Antonio).  Six teams have not been to the playoffs in any of the past four years (Indiana, New York, Memphis, Clippers, Minnesota, and Sacramento).  So, in a league with 30 teams, where 16 teams make the playoffs every year, 13 of those teams have not missed the playoffs in four years, and 13 of those teams have not made the playoffs in four years.

Maybe I’m just a dork with nothing better to do than think deep thoughts about basketball statistics, but I think that’s quite interesting.  The system is not set up for that kind of year-to-year consistency; bad teams are rewarded with good draft picks, and free agents are able to leave to go to whatever team they want when their contracts are up (theoretically, the bad teams are the ones that can offer good money and lots of playing time).  Other sports do not have type of consistency; in the NFL, it’s quite common for Super Bowl teams – even defending champions – to miss the playoffs the following season.   Aside from the Colts, Patriots, and Chargers, there’s essentially a revolving door into and out of the NFL playoffs on a year-by-year basis.

This year-to-year stability leads to a number of hoopservations, which I’ll discuss over the next few days.  I hope you’ll check back regularly, and jump into the discussion.